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A paper, taken apart

Every paper is read as a claim-evidence graph — each finding paired with how they know it: the method, the sample, the effect size, the uncertainty. A weak paper gets an honest teardown, not a hype summary.

PLoS Medicine· 30 Aug 2005· 4 claims

Why Most Published Research Findings Are False

A modelling essay arguing that the probability a published research finding is true depends on prior odds, statistical power, and bias, and that under common conditions most published findings are more likely false than true. Structured here as propositions with a link-out to the open-access original (CC BY).